Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park is young and family-heavy — but expensive to rent
Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park 2171 · Bringelly - Green Valley, Greater Sydney, NSW
Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park is a young, family-heavy area (median age 33); well served for the everyday — 7 schools and 2 supermarkets. The trade-offs: renting is expensive, a median of $800 a week (DCJ, 2026-Q1); the population is barely moving.
Mostly free-standing houses, with a median age of 33 and households on a median $2,248 a week at the 2021 Census.
Compiled from ABS regional population (SA2), the 2021 Census, SEIFA 2021, NSW DCJ median rents, NSW DCJ median sale prices, NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research reported offences, NSW SES Georges River flood database, OpenStreetMap and ACARA Schools NSW / NSW Dept of Education · figures current to September 2026.
What it costs to buy
NSW DCJ Rent and Sales Report · 2025-Q4Median sale price from the NSW Department of Communities and Justice's recorded property sales. Compare year-on-year — quarter-to-quarter moves are mostly seasonal noise.
By dwelling type — 2025-Q4 quarter
| Type | Median sale price |
|---|---|
| House | $1,295,000n=90 |
The median sale price across all dwellings in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park was $1,283,000, based on sales in postcode 2171, for the 2025-Q4 quarter. That is $83,000 above the Greater Sydney median. By type: a house $1,295,000.
This is the median price of properties recorded as sold this quarter — settlement can lag a purchase decision by weeks, so the most recent quarter can revise slightly as more sales are recorded.
Show every quarter, with the year-on-year change
| Quarter | Median price | Year on year | Greater Sydney |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-Q4 | $1,283,000 | — | $1,200,000 |
Sale price data © NSW Department of Communities and Justice, Rent and Sales Report, based on sales in postcode 2171, December 2025 release. Figures are the median for properties sold in the quarter. DCJ suppresses a median where too few properties sold.
What it costs to rent
NSW DCJ Rent and Sales Report · 2026-Q1Median weekly rent for new tenancies, from the NSW Department of Communities and Justice's bond lodgements. Compare year-on-year — quarter-to-quarter moves are mostly seasonal noise.
By dwelling type — 2026-Q1 quarter
| Type | Studio | 1 bed | 2 bed | 3 bed | 4+ bed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House | — | — | — | $750n=31 | $850n=70 |
n is the number of new bonds behind each median — treat a figure marked low sample as indicative only.
The median weekly rent across all dwellings in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park was $800, based on new bonds lodged in postcode 2171, for the 2026-Q1 quarter. That is $20 a week above the Greater Sydney median. By type: a 3-bedroom house $750.
This is the median rent on new leases signed this quarter, not what existing tenants pay. It usually runs higher than the Census figure.
Show every quarter, with the year-on-year change
| Quarter | Median rent | Year on year | Greater Sydney |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q1 | $800 | — | $930 |
Rent data © NSW Department of Communities and Justice, Rent and Sales Report, based on new bonds in postcode 2171, March 2026 release. Figures are the median for new bonds lodged in the quarter, not all tenancies. DCJ suppresses a median where too few bonds were lodged.
Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park on the map
The Australian Bureau of Statistics Statistical Area 2 outline for Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park, NSW.
Map tiles © OpenStreetMap contributors. Boundary: ABS SA2 (ASGS 2021), simplified — an SA2 can differ from the gazetted suburb, and detached parts such as islands may not all be shown.
How the population has changed
Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park against the New South Wales average, both set to 100 in the first year shown so the growth rates compare.
Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park population grew from 12,009 in 2016 to 14,106 in 2025, a change of 17.5% over the period, against the New South Wales average.
Show the data table
| Year | Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park | New South Wales average |
|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 12,009 | 7,732,858 |
| 2017 | 12,455 | 7,855,316 |
| 2018 | 12,797 | 7,954,476 |
| 2019 | 13,049 | 8,046,748 |
| 2020 | 13,254 | 8,110,610 |
| 2021 | 13,306 | 8,097,062 |
| 2022 | 13,559 | 8,182,098 |
| 2023 | 13,801 | 8,356,387 |
| 2024 | 14,051 | 8,492,050 |
| 2025 | 14,106 | 8,592,524 |
Where the growth is coming from
Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park gained 869 residents from internal migration and 128 from overseas in the year to June 2025, while 1,060 people moved away — a net addition of -63 before natural increase.
- Internal migration in+869
- Internal migration out+1,011
- Overseas migration in+128
- Natural increase+118
Components of population change over the sample year. Natural increase is shown apart from migration so the two are not read as one figure.
How it has changed
Census · five-yearlyThe 2016 Census against 2021. Older figures are mapped onto today's boundaries via the ABS Time Series Profile, so comparisons are approximate where borders moved.
| Measure | 2016 | 2021 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 11,588 | 13,263 | +14% |
| Median age | 32 | 33 | +1 yr |
| Median household income | $1,966/wk | $2,248/wk | +14% |
| Median weekly rent | $480/wk | $500/wk | +4.2% |
| Born overseas | 44.8% | 46.0% | +1.3 pts |
Who lives here
Census · five-yearlyFrom the 2021 Census — the most recent available; 2026 Census data isn't expected until mid-2027. Each figure carries its definition, so you know what is being counted.
People
Income
Housing
Work
Household
Country of birth
Language at home
How homes are held
- Owned outright 20.1%
- Mortgaged 55.4%
- Rented 22.0%
- Other / not stated 2.5%
How well-off the area is
Census · five-yearlyThe ABS SEIFA indexes rank every area by relative advantage and disadvantage. Decile 1 is the lowest tenth of Australia; decile 10 is the highest.
- Relative disadvantage (IRSD)Lower decile means more relative disadvantageDecile 4score 977
- Advantage & disadvantage (IRSAD)Higher decile means more relative advantageDecile 6score 1,006
- Economic resources (IER)Income and housing capacityDecile 9score 1,066
- Education & occupation (IEO)Education and occupational skill levelsDecile 6score 991
Safety context
NSW BOCSAR · June 2026How much crime is reported in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park, from the NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research (BOCSAR).
Most-reported offences · Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park, last 12 months
- Intimidation, stalking and harassment440 /100k+41% vs Greater Sydney↑ 35%
- Assault397 /100k+653% vs Greater Sydney↑ 60%
- Malicious damage to property333 /100k+16% vs Greater Sydney↑ 42%
- Theft248 /100k+545% vs Greater Sydney↓ 3%
- Drug offences64 /100k+290% vs Greater Sydney↑ 29%
- Robbery7 /100k+150% vs Greater Sydney↓ 0%
Rate per 100,000 people in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park; the arrow compares the last 12 months with the 12 before.
Of these categories, intimidation, stalking and harassment is reported most in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park over the last 12 months, running 41% above the Greater Sydney rate and up on the year before.
Show the data table
| Offence category | Suburb | Greater Sydney | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intimidation, stalking and harassment | 440 per 100k | 312 per 100k | ↑ 35% vs prior year |
| Assault | 397 per 100k | 53 per 100k | ↑ 60% vs prior year |
| Malicious damage to property | 333 per 100k | 287 per 100k | ↑ 42% vs prior year |
| Theft | 248 per 100k | 38 per 100k | ↓ 3% vs prior year |
| Drug offences | 64 per 100k | 16 per 100k | ↑ 29% vs prior year |
| Robbery | 7 per 100k | 3 per 100k | ↑ 0% vs prior year |
Crime statistics © State of New South Wales (NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research), used under CC BY 4.0, updated June 2026. Matched to this suburb from BOCSAR’s own locality-level data — see the safest/highest-crime rankings’ methodology for the locality-to-suburb matching used. Monthly counts are volatile — the 12-month figures above smooth that noise.
Flood risk
NSW SES · Georges River catchment · updated September 2026How much of this suburb sits inside NSW SES's modelled flood extents for the Georges River catchment? These are predicted extents at different probability levels, not a record of floods that have actually happened here.
Modelled flood extents
NSW SES models three flood-extent scenarios for the Georges River catchment, from the standard flood-planning benchmark to a worst-case extent. None of these say a flood has actually occurred — they mark land that modelling puts inside each scenario’s reach.
- 1% AEP (1-in-100-year): the standard NSW flood-planning benchmark — a flood with a 1-in-100 chance of being reached or exceeded in any given year.
- Flood potential: a broader strategic extent of land that could be affected under any of the modelled flood scenarios.
- Probable Maximum Flood: the most severe flood NSW SES models as physically possible for this catchment — rare, but the outer limit of what's possible.
NSW SES's Georges River flood modelling puts about 58% of Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park inside the 1% AEP (1-in-100-year) flood extent — the standard NSW flood-planning benchmark. In NSW SES's worst-case Probable Maximum Flood scenario, that grows to about 67% of the suburb.
This data only covers the Georges River catchment (southern and south-western Sydney) — NSW SES hasn’t published an equivalent modelled-extent map for Sydney’s other catchments, and a suburb rollup can’t tell you about an individual property. Explore the mapped extents on NSW SES’s Georges River flood map →
Show the data table
| Measure | Share |
|---|---|
| 1% AEP (1-in-100-year) | 58% of the suburb |
| Flood potential | 71% of the suburb |
| Probable Maximum Flood | 67% of the suburb |
Flood data: NSW State Emergency Service – Geospatial Intelligence (Georges River flood database), used for attribution as published, updated September 2026. Covers the Georges River catchment only. This is a modelling tool, not a substitute for professional flood advice on a specific address.
Getting around, and what's nearby
OpenStreetMap · quarterlyWhat OpenStreetMap records inside the suburb boundary. Counts reflect what is tagged in OSM and can undercount a real but less-mapped area. The park count here is OpenStreetMap green space of any kind, including privately held land — it is a different measure from the council parks below.
Within the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2, OpenStreetMap records 7 schools, 2 childcare and kindergarten centres, 3 GP or clinic locations, 2 supermarkets and 13 green spaces. For families: 1 library and 15 playgrounds. Eating out and socialising: 5 cafés and 3 restaurants. Staying active: 13 sports fields. Also 2 shopping centres. The nearest train station, Edmondson Park, is about 3,800 m from the suburb centre. OpenStreetMap also maps 40 bus stops here.
List every mapped place
Schools
- Hoxton Park Public School
- Holy Spirit Catholic Primary School
- Malek Fahd Islamic School
- St Joseph Trades Skills Centre
- Good Shepherd Catholic Primary School
- John Edmondson High School
- Good Samaritan Catholic College
Childcare & kindergartens
- Carnes Hill Montessori Academy
Libraries
- Carnes Hill Library
Shopping centres
- Carnes Hill Marketplace
- Big W
GPs & clinics
- Carnes Hill Doctors
- Carnes Hill X-ray and Physio
- Allcare Carnes Hill Medical Centre
Supermarkets
- Woolworths
- Aldi
Green spaces
- Reay Park
- Alex Grimson Reserve
- Peppercorn Place
- Brownes Farm Reserve
- Schoeffel Park
- Joe Daquino Park
- Percy Rabett Park
- Lyons Park
Schools
Every open NSW school whose campus sits inside the SA2 boundary, with the average ICSEA across them. Open a school for its own ICSEA, student background and a link to My School.
The Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 contains 6 schools — 3 primary schools, 2 secondary schools and 1 combined school, of which 2 are government and 4 non-government. Its 5 schools with a published ICSEA average 1014 (1000 is the national average); each school's own figure and student background are on its page. NAPLAN results for each school are on its My School profile (ACARA). For area context, Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park sits in decile 6 of the ABS SEIFA index of education and occupation nationally and 68% of adults here completed Year 12 (Census 2021).
The centre of this SA2 is zoned for Hoxton Park Public School (primary), Hoxton Park High School (secondary).
Parts of this SA2 also fall in the catchment of Dalmeny Public School (primary), Middleton Grange Public School (primary), Hinchinbrook Public School (primary), Greenway Park Public School (primary), Casula High School (secondary), John Edmondson High School (secondary).
Catchments can divide a suburb — confirm your address on EdMap.
Want another suburb? Search the catchment finder.
Show school list
- Good Shepherd Catholic Primary School · Non-Government
- Holy Spirit Catholic Primary School · Non-Government
- Hoxton Park Public School · State
- Good Samaritan Catholic College · Non-Government
- John Edmondson High School · State
- Malek Fahd Islamic School Hoxton Park · Non-Government
School list: NSW Government open data — ACARA Schools NSW, via the NSW data portal, CC BY 4.0. Catchments: NSW Department of Education “School intake zones” dataset, CC BY 4.0. ICSEA: ACARA School Profile. NAPLAN: myschool.edu.au (ACARA).
Nearby, in Bringelly - Green Valley
Others in the same ABS district, by population growth. If this one doesn't fit, one of these might.
- HereHoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park+0.4%
- 01Austral - Greendale+15.8%
- 02Cobbitty - Bringelly+8.7%
- 03Leppington - Catherine Field+8.6%
- 04Oran Park+6.7%
- 05Gledswood Hills - Gregory Hills+4.6%
- 06West Hoxton - Middleton Grange+1.2%
- 07Ashcroft - Busby - Miller+0.7%
- 08Green Valley+0.0%
- 09Badgerys Creek+0.0%
- 10Hinchinbrook-0.0%
- 11Cecil Hills-0.3%
Dots place each suburb's growth on the same scale, slowest at left.
Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park: common questions
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